Category: El Nino-La Nina

Heavy Altostratus to bring sprinkles-its-not-drizzle (educational title)

Also, lotta footnotes today. Beginning to wonder, with all the middle cloud thickness out there over and SW of Baja that’s headed this way if we won’t get sprinkles that produce a little measurable rain later today or overnight…. Models beginning to wetten things up here as well, like that Enviro Can model that sees… Continue reading Heavy Altostratus to bring sprinkles-its-not-drizzle (educational title)

After the rain, the oven

First, pretty nice sunset yesterday evening, which is redundant because sunset always occurs in the evening.       OK, enough great information on clouds and things we can see from Catalina/Sutherland Heights, now for the rain ahead…. Rainshowers, some thunderstorms wrap around this low that drifts from over San Diego to over Puerto Peñasco,… Continue reading After the rain, the oven

El Niño in formation; possibly even an “Eel Niño” (a big one)

Sent to ME just yesterday from an El Niño expert in Monterrey with the NOAA SW Fisheries Center, this update: “(An El Nino is coming)….faster than you might think: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml  Looks to me that we’ll have what I’d consider a ‘full-blown’ El Niño in the tropics by the end of the month, maybe even sooner.… Continue reading El Niño in formation; possibly even an “Eel Niño” (a big one)

Updated Catalina climo data following the end of water year

Here are the updated plots from the Our Garden location on Stallion where a continuous record has been maintained since way back in 1977 when the Sex Pistols, led by Johnny Rotten, were beginning to alter the face of pop music and pop culture and trigger an alternative music and fashion scene called “Punk.”  Let’s… Continue reading Updated Catalina climo data following the end of water year

Last summer Cumulonimbus sightings expected today and Saturday (use telescope)

If you were on Ms. Mt. Lemmon, or just in Tucson yesterday taking your wife to the airport for some reason, you would have seen a line of large Cumulonimbus tops lining the east through southeast horizon in a broken line.  It was pretty impressive, and demonstrated how close our summer rain regime still is,… Continue reading Last summer Cumulonimbus sightings expected today and Saturday (use telescope)

El Nino may be in the works for next winter; stories from the field

Here you can read the latest statement from the Climate Prediction Center on the neutral conditions that have developed in the eastern Pacific Ocean–La Nina is gone–and what it sees for next winter from their computer models.  While things are not clear because they are so difficult to foretell, they are talkin’ El Nino some. As we… Continue reading El Nino may be in the works for next winter; stories from the field