Yesterday’s Cirrus, and a rainy-snowy dream in January

From yesterday, this beauty:                           And from last night’s 11 PM AST run, a computer model run time that I tend to downplay except this one, a behemoth on January 6th at the end of our upcoming storm series.   As Aerosmith recommended… Continue reading Yesterday’s Cirrus, and a rainy-snowy dream in January

Rejected! (that 06 Z mod run from last night with no rain here for 15 days)

I had to laugh when I saw the very latest WRF-GFS model run, the run from last night’s 11 PM AST (06 Zulu) that had not ONE green pixel of rain over Catalina in the next 15 days!  You can see that really bad run here, from IPS MeteoStar.  You’ll get quite a guffaw out of… Continue reading Rejected! (that 06 Z mod run from last night with no rain here for 15 days)

Catalina gets 0.48 inches in brief frontal passage

(Note written on Dec 22nd!  Something happened to the title I gave this previously, so its been titled now.) Didn’t seem possible that such a fast moving storm could drop this much!  Neither did the mighty Beowulf Cluster at the U of AZ think so much would fall here.   But there it is, a… Continue reading Catalina gets 0.48 inches in brief frontal passage

Speaking of storms…the one tonight

Very exciting day ahead as the south to southwest winds pick up this afternoon to gusty proportions with some dust-haze in the air.  Cold front coming, as you you know.  Surface low pressure center passes to the north.  Very exciting, to repeat for emphasis. Rain?  Oh, yeah. This time ALL of it After Midnight (different “reminder”… Continue reading Speaking of storms…the one tonight

“Plenty more where that came from”

The models are showing a lot of rain ahead over the next two weeks–see farther down.  In the meantime, this: 6:44 AM:  back side of last rain blob passing over Catalina now.  That should be it for today and the next several days. It was STILL raining when I got up at 3:40 AM, another… Continue reading “Plenty more where that came from”

Rain totals and some cloud shots and a bright rainbow

Pima County has a rolling archive of 24 h rainfall.  Below under “Table” are those totals as of yesterday, at 4 PM AST, probably that 24 h period capturing the full storm.  Here in Catalina, with another 0.21 inches after 5 AM, our 24 h total ended up at 0.96 inches; 0.98 inches at Sutherland… Continue reading Rain totals and some cloud shots and a bright rainbow

Rain and when today

For those in a hurry:  no rain before 5 PM AST, rain beginning between 5 PM and 8:42 PM; most of rain after midnight into mid-day.   Since people forget, I’ve added a musical reminder there: “After midnight, we’re gonna let it all hang down.”  Could be that incoming front talkin’  to us. It will also be… Continue reading Rain and when today

“Keep them storms a rollin’, ‘maw-del!'” (add crack of bullwhip here)

Title properly sung to “Rawhide1“, a western theme song for a TEEVEE show known by heart by all us TEEVEE viewers of old, and how it might be sung today by a weather-centric cowboy, one that lived in “a area” of drought, like us. On with the story… There was a couple “stray” model runs… Continue reading “Keep them storms a rollin’, ‘maw-del!’” (add crack of bullwhip here)

The nine panels of rain; the regime change is almost here

It doesn’t get any better for a desert in southeast Arizona than this; a model run with NINE panels of rain, including rain on Christmas morning, and here they are from last night’s 5 PM AST global data, our best computers in action.  Remember the bad old days just a few weeks ago when no rain… Continue reading The nine panels of rain; the regime change is almost here

Trough Bowl to occur in West

Being the time of football bowl games, and with 35 just ahead, it seemed an appropriate thing to say.  And, let’s face it, there are never enough bowl games1. You can see this “trough bowl” phenomenon in a 5-day average of the contour heights at 500 millibars (around 18,000 feet), courtesy of the Washington Huskies Weather… Continue reading Trough Bowl to occur in West