Wasn’t expecting rain to arrive this soon (overnight Tues into Wed); much more in route

0.11 inches logged in Sutherland Heights.  Amazing, considering nothing was expected last night in mods, but rather tonight.

This rain situation from the tropics is looking better all the time, with an inch between tonight and tomorrow night looking very possible.  Next, let’s see what the AZ Uber model predicts, from the 11  PM AST run to get some constraint on a shot from hip one:

Total rain expected between about now and 7 PM AST tomorrow evening. Note something like 3 inches is expected atop Ms. Lemmon!
Total rain expected between about now and 7 PM AST tomorrow evening. Note something like 3 inches is expected atop Ms. Lemmon!

Annotated version below since no one will be able to find Ms. Mt. Lemmon….

Same as above except with arrows and writing on it.
Same as above except with arrows and writing on it.

Well, we know these tend to run on the the high side, so look for something between a third and three quarters of an inch here in Sutherland heights, a really nice rain!  We need it so bad, too.  Desert looks awful dry thanks to the deficient Oct and Nov rains.

The future is hopeful, though, for rain anyway in Catalina.  Recall that spaghetti (the “ensembles” told us were we going to be in the area where troughs collect at lower latitudes like ours and Baja.  Well now its looking more and more like they’ll have rain in them and not just “temperature fluctuations”!  I’m pretty excited here, hope you are, too!

 

The End

(more later)

Published
Categorized as Definitions

By Art Rangno

Retiree from a group specializing in airborne measurements of clouds and aerosols at the University of Washington (Cloud and Aerosol Research Group). The projects in which I participated were in many countries; from the Arctic to Brazil, from the Marshall Islands to South Africa.