We’re not into streamlined titles here.
In the meantime, before taking a hopeful look way ahead; wind and dust. Today begins the well-forecast model trough and low event from more than 10 days ago for the 17th, except its happening on the 15th and 16th. It means afternoon dust and wind, wind and dust, followed by unusually cool air on the 17th. No rain likely in this one, though, like the last dust event; just some scattered Cumulus on late on the 16th and 17th.
The weather way ahead: After the dust, idle speculations of distant rain
There’s a tiny low now east of Hawaiian Islands, that, models say, will dawdle around out there for awhile, but also be drifting eastward eventually, not being picked by the jet stream and Nike swooshed to the northeast as most such lows would be. Just continues along at low latitudes until reaching us late on Thursday, April 25th. Here it is in the NOAA spaghetti plots. It would be astonishing if this itty-bitty low gets here, but, here’s the hopeful sequence in “spaghetti.” This is only brought up because its the first model rain that has shown up for southern AZ in a long, LONG time.
In case you don’t still don’t believe me, here’s a colorful model loop showing that this is supposed to happen to that low east of Hawaii. Further support can be seen in some green pixelation over Arizona from IPS MeteoStar’s rendering of our WRF-GFS model, our best, for the amounts of rain in the 12 h ending on the morning of the 26th.
PS: Pretty happy myself, after learning through a bz website that this blog has value! How much? TWENTY-FIVE US dollars! Thanks tremendously to both readers!