Category: El Nino-La Nina

Updated Catalina, AZ, Water Year Plot, 1977-78 through 2022-23; summer temperature maximums in AZ not increasing (?)

Since the chance of measurable rain before the end of September 2023 is nil and none, I thought I would post an updated plot of the Catalina Water Year precipitation totals since records began at Our Garden from the 1977-78 Water Year, October 1 through September 30: With an El Niño in the wings, it… Continue reading Updated Catalina, AZ, Water Year Plot, 1977-78 through 2022-23; summer temperature maximums in AZ not increasing (?)

“Peru’s Niño”

I thought you’d like to read this (Peru’s Niño), forwarded to me by Niño expert, Nate M.   Pretty incredible to read about what is happening down there in the wake of the Big Niño of 2015-16,  which really turned out to be more of a couch potato in terms of weather production in the Great… Continue reading “Peru’s Niño”

Catalina WY progress report; Cal WY update, too, since I grew up in Cal

I thought you’d like to see this: Doesn’t look promising for much rain here in Catalina in March, however.  No rain in sight through the next 10 days at least. Let’s check our 7 inches with what’s happening upwind, say, in CALIFORNIA, and see if there’s been any drought relief there, through February,  via the… Continue reading Catalina WY progress report; Cal WY update, too, since I grew up in Cal

Western drought status: before and after the Big Niño erupted

“BN”, sometimes referred to in the media as the,  “Godzilla Niño” of 15-16. Before, one year ago, the drought status as presented by the National Drought Monitor folks there in Cornhuskerland, Lincoln, NE: First, a legend, no, not a story, though we could write one,  “The Legend of the Ghost Niño of 2015-16“,  but rather… Continue reading Western drought status: before and after the Big Niño erupted

MJO and El Niño Grande battling it out in the Pacific

You’re probably wondering, as are Californian’s who live a little south of ‘Frisco, “Where’s the wet winter in central and southern California?” and for us, “What happened to the Great Niño of 15-16 and all the drought-relieving rains that were expected in the Southwest?” I think you need to read this:   MJO update Remember when… Continue reading MJO and El Niño Grande battling it out in the Pacific

Forgetting about our mud for a moment; thinking of the danger to others as seen in future weather maps

Have had 1.75 inches here in the Heights last few days.  Horsies are tromping around in significant mud. But, to resume a theme about others from the prior entry, those in California, they’d better be paying close attention to the weather a week and more out.  In this weather watcher’s opinion, which should count for… Continue reading Forgetting about our mud for a moment; thinking of the danger to others as seen in future weather maps

Lucky snap; studies in orange

From the past three days, these: In other news….. Record July rains are falling in much of the coastal and intermediate valleys of southern California as the pathetic remnant of once proud Category FOUR hurricane Dolores makes landfall there today.  Places like San Diego have had well over an inch, unheard of in July.  August,… Continue reading Lucky snap; studies in orange

El Niño Risin’, “Cal Niño” persists; another comet passes over Tucson?

“I think a year ago I sent you the early alert that Eel Ninyo is coming!!! Well, I think I was about 1 year early … the real deal seems to be gearing up for a more major appearance this year … check it out: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml “My fingers are crossed for a much more typical… Continue reading El Niño Risin’, “Cal Niño” persists; another comet passes over Tucson?

While waiting for the rain, this wind report from southern Cal

The report below was supplied by stalwart metman, Mark Albright, U of WA, who snooped around to see if a forecast of 50-100 mph in southern Cal made from this blog on JANUARY 18th had any credibility at all for a 50-100 mph wind event in southern California: “Looks like your forecast of 2 days… Continue reading While waiting for the rain, this wind report from southern Cal