From the VERY latest WRF-GFS model run from the 11 PM AST crunch of global data involving billions if not trillions of calculations, so how bad can it be? We’ll see on the 27th or so (exact timing not so accurate).
In the meantime, the whole pattern causing extreme cold in the eastern half of the US, warmth and drought in the West is truly finished later this month. Soon after the map above, the whole collapses in on itself, as pretty much always happens to extreme patterns like the one we’re having now.
Take a look at what our generous mid-November through mid-December rains followed by warmth has done to our wildflower bloom this year. These shots were taken on a group hike into the Tortolita Mountain Park on the 16th, starting from the Ritz-Carlton Hotel and going up to the Wild Mustang Trail. If you want to see a spontaneous eruption of the “Ritz” in Russia1 by a “flash mob” go here. Proves that the world is completely different than it was during the Cold War, and global warming as well. You can see that its not that cold because people are out having a lot of fun and they wouldn’t be if it was really cold. The wildflower shots also suggest global warming has arrived here in Tucson as well, at least this year. They’re still waiting for it to arrive in Wisconsin I think.
1 Let us not forget that Mr. Cloud-Maven person’s latest book was in Russian. Well, it wasn’t MY book, but all the photos, including the cover one, is from Catalina Cloud Maven! See below: