Will Junly continue into August?


The models are FINALLY suggesting a return to our expected July weather by the very end of the month and a normal-looking August one, at least at start of the month.  Daily thunderstorms rumbling around on the Catalinas, some drifting off the mountains, drenching us here The Heights.

Will make our July average rainfall in the Sutherland Heights?

Our average is 2.70 inches and presently we’ve recorded just 1.16 inches with only five days to go.   But, before I make a guess, let me check the latest radar imagery here at 8L17 PM….  OK, got a little rain headed this way..  Excellent.

But, no  I think we’ll be close to average, that we’ll go over 2 inches here.  The steering aloft is weak, but will be from a good directions, from the E to NE, over the next few days and that should allow, as today, cause showers to drift off the higher terrain to us.   Being closer to the mountains we might get more even if those showers peter out farther to the west.

It will be fun seeing what happens, and how close we come to our 2.70 inches average between now and July 31.


1“Junly”:  (Joon-lie”)  Meteorologically, a month in July in Arizona that is more like June; has very hot days, way above normal temperatures for July,  and little rain,  except  that all of the above occurs with more humidity.



By Art Rangno

Retiree from a group specializing in airborne measurements of clouds and aerosols at the University of Washington (Cloud and Aerosol Research Group). The projects in which I participated were in many countries; from the Arctic to Brazil, from the Marshall Islands to South Africa.