“We interrupt this drought with an important rain”

Might be worth MILLIONS… First rain drops here at 3:30 AM.  Checked sat images and they’re looking about as good as they could for us, clouds to the southwest of us, curling  around that little upper level low center like a boa constrictor, buckling, and dragging all that tropical air toward us.  You can see… Continue reading “We interrupt this drought with an important rain”

Into the cold

Today, as everyone knows, will be the last pleasant day for quite awhile, so we’d better get out and enjoy it if you can, maybe call in sick.  Likely to be a couple of AZ low temperature records set over the next week. The skies will be great today, as they always are with some… Continue reading Into the cold

Clouds go round and round with a sprinkle-rain landing close by last night

One of the things I like to do when I am wrong, yesterday having predicted a trace to a few hundredths of rain last night from that disturbance going by to the south, is to spend a LOT of time talking about how close I was. Its true the zuperkomputer, the Beowulf Cluster, at our… Continue reading Clouds go round and round with a sprinkle-rain landing close by last night

Upper low passing to south; clouds to wrap around overhead from the southeast and east this evening

Backdoor rain?   Looks like any chance of rain will happen later this afternoon through overnight as mainly mid-level clouds twist around our low from the east.  That low is now over Yuma, AZ, and the center will pass to the south of us tonight.  We don’t see that happen too often.  Here’s a nice… Continue reading Upper low passing to south; clouds to wrap around overhead from the southeast and east this evening

Flatlined

The recording raingauge, that is. A coupla drops is all that fell here in Catalina after some indications of cores around us later yesterday afternoon that were producing measurable rain. You can go to the U of AZ rainlog site to see some local amounts–the Pima County ALERT site is down right now. They’ll have… Continue reading Flatlined

Jet stream passes overhead today and tonight, drifts to south; Cumulus and Stratocumulus clouds deepen upward during day and by afternoon tops reach the glaciation level (below -10 C, 14 F) and begin spewing snow virga which melts to rain at lower elevations.

I guess I don’t need to blog after that title…   We’ll be lucky to get 0.15 inches, and a few hundredths is the most likely amount, and that will fall later in the afternoon to late evening hours according to me and my (U of A Weather Department) model. How much the U of… Continue reading Jet stream passes overhead today and tonight, drifts to south; Cumulus and Stratocumulus clouds deepen upward during day and by afternoon tops reach the glaciation level (below -10 C, 14 F) and begin spewing snow virga which melts to rain at lower elevations.

November looks to finish out as a very dry month

Kind a bored looking at the same model runs for 10-15 days ahead now, ones that close out November with no rain even nearby for Catalina.  Doesn’t seem to be even ANY HOPE for rain here, that is, some bizarre model outlier forecast with rain, as we saw a few days ago.  But then, I… Continue reading November looks to finish out as a very dry month

In case you missed it; these clouds and a trace of rain (!)

Once again we were treated to a spectacular sunset, another one in a long series of occasional sunset spectacles, ones that probably go back before the 1900s. We didin’t have color film in the 1800s, so we can’t be for sure if there were spectacular sunsets here except via artist’s renderings, of necessity, of course,… Continue reading In case you missed it; these clouds and a trace of rain (!)

Some clouds; excessive excitement over model flip flops (web crawlers: not about shoes or girls wearing them) for late November

Here they are:                                             Today?  More pretty clouds. The weather way ahead, like on November 29th Just after I was asserting from this typewriter that the big storm, the Great Wet Hope in late… Continue reading Some clouds; excessive excitement over model flip flops (web crawlers: not about shoes or girls wearing them) for late November