Good morning to the both of you who reads this blog. Expect 0.10 inches or less Sunday night. Clouds? This is going to be a great photogenic day, both today and tomorrow as delicate patterns of high and middle clouds race over us in advance of this little system carried by those increasing winds aloft.… Continue reading Dust settling rain on way, but not much more right away
Category: The weather ahead
Models warming up to rain; some cloud shots from yesterday
Been kind of sitting around waiting for the billions/trillions of numerical model calculations to get it “right”, that is, to come back with some decent rain SOMEWHERE in Arizona after some pretty sad dry model results over the past couple of days. Today, the great USA WRF-GFS model (rendered by IPS Meteostar) finally got it… Continue reading Models warming up to rain; some cloud shots from yesterday
Roar of the jet
But where will it be? While our little baby low center spins and almost dies before it gets here on Sunday-Monday with only the possibility of a few brief light showers now, the bigger question is where exactly will the jet stream break through and slam the Pac coast in about a week? The… Continue reading Roar of the jet
OK to talk about a chance of rain again
With the New Year getting underway and all the excitement about the a possible economic rebound, I felt I couldn’t inform you that the model runs had gutted any chance of that rain here in Catalina in the next two weeks since the last post entitiled, “Return of the cutoffs followed by a Pac blast.”… Continue reading OK to talk about a chance of rain again
Return of the cut offs followed by a Pac blast
While waiting for the to the 10-15 day forecast to resolve itself, most reliably experienced by having those days that used to be two weeks away get here, we can get a more reliable fix on the next few days to a week. Take a look at these WRF-GFS model forecasts based on last evening’s… Continue reading Return of the cut offs followed by a Pac blast
Weather 10 days from now remains uncertain
Hahahahah. That is the funniest thing I have thought of in a long time, and its not that funny. Take a look at this “spaghetti” plot for 10 days from now based on last night’s global data. The map is for 500 mb, about 15,000 to 20, ooo feet above sea level.… Continue reading Weather 10 days from now remains uncertain
Its not worth mentioning…
…so I wasn’t going to say anything, but last night’s model run based on the 5 PM LST global data went into a dry mode for AZ over the next two weeks, sucking up all that rain that was predicted in a run just SIX HOURS before the run last night (shown on the left),… Continue reading Its not worth mentioning…
Some more of that Catalina climo
Here is a 35 year record showing what days have had measurable rain in January. Sometimes “singularities” in weather show up in these kinds of charts of tempearture or precipitation, such as the “January thaw” that seems to occur with some regularity in the East but is “unexplained.” You would be looking at our chart… Continue reading Some more of that Catalina climo
Models divine powerful mid-month storms
Here’s what we got now for a jet stream regime. The jet stream, that raging river of wind between the deep cold air of the northern latitudes and the deep warm air of the tropics and sub-tropics, is crashing into Washington and British Columbia from the Pacific. We have remain in the quiescent warm… Continue reading Models divine powerful mid-month storms
Low spin cycle continuing off Baja; water being added
That enfante terrible now dawdles over the coastal waters of California and northern Baja today, adding some water to its central system as seen here from IPS Meteostar. Note, too, a scruff of Stratocumulus clouds racing northwestward in the Gulf of Baja abouit the latitude of the border between north and south Baja. This is… Continue reading Low spin cycle continuing off Baja; water being added