A couple of Pima County gauges reported measurable rain yesterday or overnight, but that was about it. But it was a fabulous cloud day yesterday. Heavier spotty rains, one USGS station indicating over an inch, fell in the central and northern mountains, which is good.
Below, a rehash of yesterday’s great variety of clouds.
The weather ahead
Models beginning to act quite well now. A little rain is foretold for Catalina and environs on the 21st of November, but Enviro Can make that storm look more significant and slower to move in, on the 22nd. Still two mods, both having some precip? Its all good. First, for your viewing pleasure and because it portends more rain, from Canada, this:
An aside: the Canadian model tends to have a westward bias, that is, a storm is foretold to be farther west a few days out than it turns out to be, something I’ve learned since becoming a forecaster yesterday (hahaha, just kidding, if anyone’s reading this far). So you have to figure the Enviro Can depiction of a trough off Frisco, Cal, is really going to be inland that bit. The US mod output shown above, has this same trough going more overland before it gets to us than the Canadian one, and so there’s less cloud water in it by the time it gets here. Root for the Canadian “solution”!
Farther down the road….more illusory water on the hot highway?
And, of course, a heavier rain is once again over Catalina and vicinity as November closes. This model really likes Catalina and SE AZ! Check it out: