March 2017: In like a lamb, out like a lion? Yep.

The title represents one of the great forecasting lores of our time, developed over centuries, really, that will once again verify.   BTW, this particular lore has a “skill score” up around 0.9011.   Its unbelievable,  really.  If March “roars in like a lion” count on the opposite at the end of the month.  Many of you will harken back to March ’83….as an opposite example if what’s a ahead for us this time around.

So, since March 2017 started out tranquil (docile, like a lamb) and a little too warm, “out like a lion” means not just cooler, but even cold, windy, turbulent, unsettled days,  rain here  and there in Catalina, snow in Catalina Mountains; in other words, a lot of weather fun!  And, all this happening a time or three during the last ten days of the March as the month rolls to an end.

Count on it2.

Next report:  when rain threatens here in March.  Well, maybe sooner.

The End.

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1Perfect predictability would be 1.00

2The exact days of rain, wind and cold are still pretty uncertain, but they will roar in.  You can’t expect “lore” to nail down the days!

By Art Rangno

Retiree from a group specializing in airborne measurements of clouds and aerosols at the University of Washington (Cloud and Aerosol Research Group). The projects in which I participated were in many countries; from the Arctic to Brazil, from the Marshall Islands to South Africa.

4 comments

  1. “2hot4me2”, now in March, when you know how much heat is just ahead! Rain is always a little dicier, but there looks to be some, too, before the month is out.

    Thanks for stopping by, wasting a little time….

    a

  2. Here along the north shore of Lake Ontario in the province of Ontario, we are lamenting the return of hard winter in March.
    The Trough west – ridge east configuration of the general circulation in February brought spring weather here. Snow disappeared, robins by the hundreds migrated north and are all over the neighbourhood. Tulips and daffodils started to emerge in gardens.
    Now that the pattern has switched, we are in very cold conditions for March. The western edge of an coastal nor-easter is swiping us with snow and blowing snow today. Our temperatures have been solidly below freezing for over a week.
    We could really use a little of that heat that is settling over the US southwest these days. How about dispensing just a teeny weeny bit of it to this part of the world to bring our temperatures back to around 10C?
    Are you the Albert Rango, co-author of the text “The Atmosphere” along with authors Anthes, Panofsky and Cahir? I cut my teeth on that text which eventually led me to study atmospheric sciences and on to a career as a meteorologist with Environment Canada. I am now retired and still eat and breathe the weather. Like you, I have many thousands of photographs of clouds which I have taken over the years. But your photographs are much, much better organized than mine. I love cloudscapes. I feel they talk to me when I look at them…as you feel, too, I am sure, by reading your blog. Nice work, Art. I appreciate it. I enjoy reading about your desert climate.
    Dave Brown

    1. Gee, what a nice comment, Dave, and in that comment, letting me know that we are likely exactly the same person, but you’re over there, and I am over here. This proves once again that there are fewer personality types than psychologists generally believe, maybe there are just 10 or so, not an infinite number.

      I hope those migrated birds can survive after being fooled by the warm early conditions!

      I am lucky to be in my little cloud heaven here. You oughta come out thisaway and see it some time, and drop by!

      As for “A. Rango”; nope, not him, but our names are sure a close call, and my name “Rangno” been occasionally misspelled in journal articles as “Rango” referencing work I’ve done or participated in reducing my citation index count, and possibly increasing his. Dang.

      I think Prof. Albert Rango may still be alive and living in New Mexico I think I heard. Yep, he did some outstanding work when he was at Penn State. BTW, I took correspondence courses in meteorology from Penn State before I went to real college.

      Thanks, again, Dave!

      a

      a

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