Probably should read this letter….

A few top climate scientists have banded together and commented in prestigious Science magazine concerning the recent attribution of this winter’s weather extremes to global warming1 from places on high.  In fact, such attributions can’t be done with any reliability.  Reading between the lines, and knowing how hard it is to criticize a former student’s work, much less a presidential adviser whom they helped elect (:}), I would have to conclude that they were pretty upset and felt a strong need to get the word out.

Wallace et al 2014 on extremes

Will a few incautious scientists and politicos continue to make those kinds of as yet, ill-founded claims as addressed by Wallace et al?  Is there cactus in Arizona?


Cold and precip suggested here at the beginning of March two weeks from now.  Some climatology supports something real happening then since early March is also the the time that the highest chance of rain (over the past 130 years or so)  in southern California occurs.  Rain there usually means rain here in a day.

So, maybe, MAYBE, this storm will be real and not fantasy as so many are in model predictions two weeks away.


In memoriam, Zuma:  2000-Feb 15, 2014SONY DSC


1In recent years, in a subtle sleight of hand, the oft heard phrase of earlier years,”global warming” is now being replaced by the phrase, “climate change” because it stopped warming so many years ago, 15 or so, whilst CO2 concentrations continued to climb.    Scientists and the media became increasingly uncomfortable, it appears, talking about warming when it isn’t.

However, “climate change” is something we can ALL agree on since the earth’s climate is always changing, such as hereabouts in the SW US, oscillating from dry and wet periods, sometimes very long ones in duration.  Ask any tree ring.

What’s next for earth?

No one really knows for sure, but you would likely tilt if you had to make a guess toward a resumption of warming with an El Nino on deck for later in the year.  The planet warms when El Ninos happen.  And if CO2 is having its way, the warming likely will not subside afterwards.  Interesting times ahead!

The End.

By Art Rangno

Retiree from a group specializing in airborne measurements of clouds and aerosols at the University of Washington (Cloud and Aerosol Research Group). The projects in which I participated were in many countries; from the Arctic to Brazil, from the Marshall Islands to South Africa.