The many panels of rain

There are more “panels” with rain for Arizona than there are for Seattle over the next 15 days1,  this as seen in last evening’s 5 PM AST crunch of global weather data by our best model (rendered here by IPS MeteoStar).

Hmmmm2.

Let us review the NOAA spaghetti factory output to see if this long run of intermittent rains in Arizona has any veracity at all:

Valid at 5 PM AST, February 9th, 15 days from now, or is it?
Valid at 5 PM AST, February 9th, 15 days from now, or is it?  This was based on the same global data as the many rain panels.

So, there you have it.

The End,  sans all but one sunrise photo3

7:10 AM. Under lit Altostratus with virga.
7:10 AM. Under lit Altostratus with virga.

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1This includes today’s late afternoon through tomorrow morning’s sprinkles or light rain.

2Recall the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s experimental long range forecast of 4 inches of rain in TUS in January, and SIX inches in February made in early December?  Could it possibly have any veracity?

Hmmmmmmmm.

3Compulsive-neurotic cloud photo documentation of the day being blunted presently by social engagements with out-of-state visitors and having to do things indoors, and not able to run outside without causing inexplicable voids in ongoing colloquies.   My apologies.

By Art Rangno

Retiree from a group specializing in airborne measurements of clouds and aerosols at the University of Washington (Cloud and Aerosol Research Group). The projects in which I participated were in many countries; from the Arctic to Brazil, from the Marshall Islands to South Africa.