Hahahahah. That is the funniest thing I have thought of in a long time, and its not that funny. Take a look at this “spaghetti” plot for 10 days from now based on last night’s global data. The map is for 500 mb, about 15,000 to 20, ooo feet above sea level.… Continue reading Weather 10 days from now remains uncertain
Category: Cirrus clouds
This is a new category
Its not worth mentioning…
…so I wasn’t going to say anything, but last night’s model run based on the 5 PM LST global data went into a dry mode for AZ over the next two weeks, sucking up all that rain that was predicted in a run just SIX HOURS before the run last night (shown on the left),… Continue reading Its not worth mentioning…
Some more of that Catalina climo
Here is a 35 year record showing what days have had measurable rain in January. Sometimes “singularities” in weather show up in these kinds of charts of tempearture or precipitation, such as the “January thaw” that seems to occur with some regularity in the East but is “unexplained.” You would be looking at our chart… Continue reading Some more of that Catalina climo
Low spin cycle continuing off Baja; water being added
That enfante terrible now dawdles over the coastal waters of California and northern Baja today, adding some water to its central system as seen here from IPS Meteostar. Note, too, a scruff of Stratocumulus clouds racing northwestward in the Gulf of Baja abouit the latitude of the border between north and south Baja. This is… Continue reading Low spin cycle continuing off Baja; water being added
Grandson of “Frankenstorm” knocking on Heaven’s door (Catalina, Arizona)
Well, I think Catalina, AZ, being next to the Catalinas, is “Heaven’s door”. I think, too, to have a second consecutive thought, that we’ll get more than an inch out of this Big Boy which is rare here in Catalina for a storm in the wintertime. Not close in areal extent to the original… Continue reading Grandson of “Frankenstorm” knocking on Heaven’s door (Catalina, Arizona)
On schedule for major AZ storm beginning Monday
Now that the models have reconciled, “come together”, to show a large storm affecting Arizona and us here in Catland beginning later Monday, it seemed interesting to ME to show you how this one gets here. This is where our numerical models do things that in the olden days before them we could never anticipate.… Continue reading On schedule for major AZ storm beginning Monday
“Come together, right now, over me” in Arizona with some rain
This song and refrain by Lennon and McCartney, amended a bit in the title for local interest1 was actually a reference by them to a striking “divergence” in weather model predictions of that day during a droughty time in England; the models did “come together” eventually to predict the same thing, and that was for… Continue reading “Come together, right now, over me” in Arizona with some rain
Yep, its gone; all that model predicted rain in just the next 12 h run!
Dammitall! Of course, being quite jaded, and knowing drastic changes in model predictions from one run to the next are usually bogus, this disappearance of all that predicted rain in 10-15 days ahead of us on yesterday morning’s National Center for Enviro Prediction “GFS” model has hurt. People don’t realize how hard it is to… Continue reading Yep, its gone; all that model predicted rain in just the next 12 h run!
Calming Cirrus
Feeling better now after some calming Cirrus uncinus and spissatus moved in yesterday. Wasn’t sure we could have clouds anymore here above Catalina, AZ. Really, there’s nothing like some uncinus and spissatus to make you feel better after you get worked up over some global cooling stuff you thought was wrong. And that nice sunset… Continue reading Calming Cirrus
Cirrus show
Just a couple of photos of yesterday morning’s glorious display of Cirrus (OK, “uncinus”) clouds, those high, icy white ones that were so fantastic enhanncing the desert and Catalina mountain background, taken from on top of a horse. As you know by now, those Cirrus clouds are composed of tiny ice crystals, but, as tiny… Continue reading Cirrus show