…and maybe points north, too. Lately models have been foretelling rain in Catalina on the 17th or 18th. In case you don’t believe me, here’s the precip forecast from last evening’s (00 Zulu) WRF-GOOFUS1 model run for the morning of the 18th as rendered by IPS MeteoStar: What… Continue reading Upper trough with rain continues to march toward Catalina from Siberia and points west
Category: Spaghetti plots
A look at Catalina’s empty water year container so far; but spiget may be about to be turned on
While waiting for measurable rain to begin piling up in November, let’s look at no rain so far for the current water year which began October 1st: In fact, speaking of piling up, here’s some rain in this forecast from the Canadian GEM… Continue reading A look at Catalina’s empty water year container so far; but spiget may be about to be turned on
Measurable rain to fall in November (!)
That’s it. Its a kind of news release, best released on the 1st. Its news, of course, you won’t find on other weather sites because maybe they’re chicken, or prudent. Check back on November 30th, and if its rainless again, there will be no mention of this forecast. But, after the rainless October (we average… Continue reading Measurable rain to fall in November (!)
Tropical river to flow into Arizona
The summer high pressure sitting on top of Catalina in the middle and upper atmosphere, squashing our Cumulonimbus clouds with its extra warm air, is destined to relocate to Dubuque, Iowa over the next five days. Along with the return of better showers, more bigger ones, as this happens, this movement will also allow a… Continue reading Tropical river to flow into Arizona
Another repeat of a late bloom again; upper air ridge, summer rain pattern, to stay secure for remainder of month
Worn out from yesterday, which resembled the day before with the late “bloom” of fabulously photogenic Cumulonimbus clouds, much lightning, and an equally fabulous sunset. Took too many photos (200 plus I think) kind of out of control, due to excessive excitement again; hard drive filling up. Locating brain now in this cup of coffee.… Continue reading Another repeat of a late bloom again; upper air ridge, summer rain pattern, to stay secure for remainder of month
Pretty strong “signal” showing up for April 17th
Wasn’t going to blog, gets boring after a while with only dry conditions ahead, but then saw this and got pretty excited, as you will, too. Might not need that extra cup of joe to get going today. … Continue reading Pretty strong “signal” showing up for April 17th
Hoping Canadians win model forecast duel
This from Canada last night for April 8th at 5 PM AST: appropriate descriptor for AZ; “juicy.” This was such a great find early this morning! Note deep upper low at 500 mb in eastern Cal (upper left panel) and gigantic surface low centered in Four Corners area (upper right panel). Would almost surely mean… Continue reading Hoping Canadians win model forecast duel
Big fat trough to sit on Catalina April 8-9th. But will it bring rain?
I don’t know. Got burned last time because of overconfidence in spaghetti assessment, so being more circumspect seeing the same strong signal ahead in that stuff today. Here’s NOAA’s best spaghetti from last night (leftovers) for you this morning: Cirrus to pass over Catalina today! Its not like the space station, or Comet Panstarrs,… Continue reading Big fat trough to sit on Catalina April 8-9th. But will it bring rain?
Big fat trough to sit on Catalina March 30-31st. But will it bring rain?
That title is so TEEVEE: “Stay tuned for ‘Jeff’s’ forecast at 11 PM (6 hours from the title announcement) to find out.” So silly. Yet, when I look deep inside myself, I find I wouldn’t mind saying things like that if was making a LOT of money to say things like that, like those TEEVEE… Continue reading Big fat trough to sit on Catalina March 30-31st. But will it bring rain?
Seeing red
Well, here it is, the NOAA Catalina spaghetti output for March 8th, 5 PM AST, hold the sauce: The plot at left, with likely a Guinness record for a long, thin caption, pretty much guarantees a big trough of cold air here by then, another door opens into winter, which seems to be gone right… Continue reading Seeing red