Not to worry; plenty of model rain still ahead in models

1While several inches of model2 rain has occurred in Catalina and in the nearby mountains this month, most of which cloud-maven person has festooned his blog with model panels of, there really hasn’t been any ACTUAL rain. But having said that, there is even MORE model rain ahead, some beginning tomorrow in these parts.  Tomorrow’s… Continue reading Not to worry; plenty of model rain still ahead in models

On your mark, get set, (pause) RAIN!!!! (screaming here)

a lot….beginning tomorrow afternoon or evening, not today.  Today is “pause” day.  Also, its trash day today here in Catalina, mentioned here as a public service. Slow moving,  sub-tropical  system to drop several inches of water content in rain/snow in mountains, sez our best model, that run by the U of AZ.  Thank you, U… Continue reading On your mark, get set, (pause) RAIN!!!! (screaming here)

The rains (plural) ahead; reviewing “Lorenz” plots

It doesn’t get much better than this plot below for our Catalina weather 10-13 days ahead, which is always pretty fuzzy-looking as a rule.  “Better” means for rain chances here, which is not everyone’s “better.” Here’s the excitement: Note blank area, that is, an area free of lines area centered on the gambling and other… Continue reading The rains (plural) ahead; reviewing “Lorenz” plots

A rainy, drizzly Catalina day; 0.69 inches in The Heights

Yesterday’s cold front packed a few more rain “calories” than expected….  Kind of wrecked my play on beer in yesterday’s blog title as a way of making fun of it, you know, “Front light”.    See rain amounts below. ————— But before that, a heads up:  1) More rain on way next week, at least a… Continue reading A rainy, drizzly Catalina day; 0.69 inches in The Heights

“Front Light”; compare to Bud Light

Front will roar across like a mouse, not a lion, as hoped for a few days ago.  Not too many rain “calories” in it.  Measurable rain will still occur, starting sometime between 9 AM and 10 AM AST–oops. raining now at 7:10 AM!   Check out U of AZ model for rain timing.   First drops fall… Continue reading “Front Light”; compare to Bud Light

Big virga, but no drops here

Flash:  Plethora of storms lining up for Catalina  during the rest of December.  Spring wildflower seeds take note.  Expecting to see a little snow here, too, in one of those–happens about once a year at our elevation (3,000 to 3500 feet), btw, so its not terribly unusual.) The first one, on December 12th, is in… Continue reading Big virga, but no drops here

Unusual patterns in afternoon Cirrus and Cirrocumulus clouds

Started out clear yesterday.  Below, an example of that completely clear sky in case you missed it. I think it is interesting that Mark would chose to live as a snowbird in a smog plume rather than here in Catalina where that Tucson smog plume rarely strikes.   Its pretty regular down there because the normal… Continue reading Unusual patterns in afternoon Cirrus and Cirrocumulus clouds

Dull cool day and blog, book-ended by a nice sunrise and a nice sunset

Here we go…..some pretty, but also dull,  photos, along with some novella-sized captions as mind wandered into the obtuse while writing them.   That’s about it.  No use talking about the rain ahead again.  Seems to be a couple chances between the 20th and the 30th. The End —————————- 1You can make a cloud snow… Continue reading Dull cool day and blog, book-ended by a nice sunrise and a nice sunset

Rain to fall in Catalina! (as shown in this latest model run shown below)

Finally found some rain for you.  Took awhile.  Came from the 11 PM AST global data from last night using the WRF-GFS model, our best.  The rain falls around the 19th,  “only” 11 days from now and during the “sweet spot” for southern California rain in mid-November, 10-20th, which gives it a few more percent… Continue reading Rain to fall in Catalina! (as shown in this latest model run shown below)