Well, when there’s no rain in the model predictions for 15 days, you have to get excited about something…. Like a solar flare, there has been another massive ejection of high clouds from the equatorial region and its heading toward Catalina, AZ. Here, from the Washington Huskies Weather Department1, is a 24 h loop… Continue reading Another big Cirrus streamer from the Equator heading our way!
Category: The weather WAY ahead (10 days or more)
The rain before the storm
Our models have been showing a batch of scattered showers on Thursday for some time, a precursor to the Big Change day on Saturday. Skepticism prevailed at this keyboard since there didn’t seem to be much going on off’n Baja where this moisture was supposed to come from. Here is an upper level chart demonstrating… Continue reading The rain before the storm
“Trough, there it is”,
Again, paraphrasing a skit from that old, innovative TEEVEE show. In Living Color, featuring Jim Carey, the Wayan Bros. etc., to describe the results of this run of the NCEP “ensemble of spaghetti” plot. This is a great output! Mmmmmmm, makes me want to throw a meatball on it right now! As in yesterday’s presentation… Continue reading “Trough, there it is”,
Big weather change coming about November 10th
The evidence is clear, see below: Or, maybe should it be, “clear?” Or, “Huh?” Of course, the two people who read this blog know that I am a big fan of these spaghetti plots, as they are known by in the business, in elucidating the likelihood of coming weather events shown on the progs. Today’s… Continue reading Big weather change coming about November 10th
Catalina dust to be vanquished today (?)
“?”? It goes with the predicting the future territory… Raining at 4:19 AM! Pretty good sized drops! Wow. Current NWS forecast now says rain only after 11 AM so an early start is excellent. Moisture is moving rapidly into southern Arizona. As an example, look at this uptick at Sells, AZ to the SW of… Continue reading Catalina dust to be vanquished today (?)
Rain ahead and then way ahead as well
First of all, nice Cirrus-ee clouds yesterday…. Cirrus fibratus left, Cirrus uncinus (with tufts at the top, filaments of falling snow below) on the right. What is remarkable to me is the finely stranded nature of these clouds. With an aircraft, you would hit, in one of those strands, a burst of ice crystals just… Continue reading Rain ahead and then way ahead as well
Low temperature records galore
Here a very nice site if you want to look at what weather records were being set around the country, with an example for the past few days below. The one below were set as a gigantic blob of cold air (high pressure region) plopped down into the US, one bigger and colder than usual… Continue reading Low temperature records galore
Rain here in Catalina by 5 PM, Thursday afternoon, October 11th; update, Canadians hop on Catalina rain train
It says so right here, from the University of Washington Huskies’ model, after a LOT of calculations. Take a look at the map below, valid for Thursday afternoon at 5 PM AST. Those colored regions denote areas where Mr. Model thinks it has rained in the prior 3 h. BTW, if you want to see… Continue reading Rain here in Catalina by 5 PM, Thursday afternoon, October 11th; update, Canadians hop on Catalina rain train