More possibly illusory water on a hot Arizona desert highway in the 12-14 day range. Massive events are predicted, really; thought you like to see these mid to late April blows, even though they’re likely as phony as a two dollar bill1. 1. Major April rainstorm exits Cal, brings generous rains to AZ. From IPS… Continue reading “Jumbotrons” again appear in model output
Category: Spaghetti plots
Miscellaneous stuff; also, regime change now in progress!
Haven’t had much weather/clouds to gab about; maybe I’ll help reader with some extra material today, not usually associated with a site about clouds; kind of go outside the lines a little. Miscellaneous item 1 The Oracle Road report. Thought you’d like to see that. Miscellaneous item 2 This. Its quite good. You’ll see people… Continue reading Miscellaneous stuff; also, regime change now in progress!
More rain to fall in March; water STILL running in the Sutherland Wash!
The author has made two claims. Let us look at the evidence, the first of which was obtained yesterday morning in support of one of those. A hiker/walker, the author met, we will call him, “Bob”, though it seems doubtful that’s his real name since he had quite a strong northern European accent, said there… Continue reading More rain to fall in March; water STILL running in the Sutherland Wash!
Such a morning, such an evening; lots in between
1) Let yesterday morning’s color show speak for itself, just incredible, speaking for it anyway. 2) Please review the U of AZ time lapse film here to understand why it takes the biggest computer Fujitsu can build to calculate what the atmosphere is doing. Also reviewing this let’s you escape from the tedium about to… Continue reading Such a morning, such an evening; lots in between
The first of many cloud blobs in the days ahead, some rain-filled, passes over during the night
Here it is. You may need an optical enhancement tool to see the radar echo speck nearest Catalina, and its not the one nearest the arrowhead below, but continue in that direction: You can also check on all the rain that fell overnight in the region here, courtesy of Pima County ALERT rain gauges. BTW,… Continue reading The first of many cloud blobs in the days ahead, some rain-filled, passes over during the night
The many panels of rain
There are more “panels” with rain for Arizona than there are for Seattle over the next 15 days1, this as seen in last evening’s 5 PM AST crunch of global weather data by our best model (rendered here by IPS MeteoStar). Hmmmm2. Let us review the NOAA spaghetti factory output to see if this long… Continue reading The many panels of rain
The rains (plural) ahead; reviewing “Lorenz” plots
It doesn’t get much better than this plot below for our Catalina weather 10-13 days ahead, which is always pretty fuzzy-looking as a rule. “Better” means for rain chances here, which is not everyone’s “better.” Here’s the excitement: Note blank area, that is, an area free of lines area centered on the gambling and other… Continue reading The rains (plural) ahead; reviewing “Lorenz” plots
Glimpse of an Ice Age just ahead, but maybe not here in Catalina
Like scientific opinion1, climate change happens. You may not know this, but only 15,000 to 20,000 years or so ago, a blink of an eye in light years, the earth was gripped by an Ice Age. No “hockey stick” handle back then! Snow and ice piled up over a kilometer deep on top of the… Continue reading Glimpse of an Ice Age just ahead, but maybe not here in Catalina
Three storms in the model “fountain”; which one will the model keep?
Who can forget the Four Aces? Well, fountains spray water, and storms spray water (and snow) on the ground, so quite an unexpected confluence in descriptions, comparing fountains and storms. That’s right, three storms are shown in the model run from last night. They been kind of coming and going, the model generally clueless about… Continue reading Three storms in the model “fountain”; which one will the model keep?
Spaghetti is back!
Due to some kind of server meltdown, the NOAA spaghetti plots, better, “Lorenz plots” in honor of “Dr. Chaos”, Edward N. Lorenz, the ones my fans1 like so much, have not been available. But they’re back today! But what are they telling us? Gander this for Christmas Day: Don’t need to tell you that the… Continue reading Spaghetti is back!